Predicting Older Age Mortality Trends
نویسنده
چکیده
JEL Classification: J15, N31 Improving early prenatal and postnatal conditions account for at least 16 to 17 percent of the decline in ten year mortality rates of 60-79 year olds between 1900 and 1960-80. Historical trends in early prenatal and postnatal conditions imply that while the baby-boom cohort may be particularly long-lived compared to past cohorts, mortality rates may not fall as steeply for the cohorts born after 1955 as for earlier cohorts. Dora L. Costa MIT Department of Economics, E52-274C 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142 and NBER [email protected] Joanna Lahey MIT Department of Economics, E52-274C 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142 [email protected]
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